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2024-12-13 04:46:43

Brent crude oil hit $72/barrel, up 0.34% in the day.Pacific Securities: The historical low of the valuation office of liquor industry is about to be repaired. The Pacific Securities Research Report pointed out that the liquor industry is rationally slowing down, and the valuation office is at a historical low, and it is about to be repaired. Next year, the leading growth target will generally drop to single digits. However, the accumulated inventory risk and pricing pressure still need time to gradually ease after the imbalance between supply and demand has intensified in the past two years and the previous industry bubble has receded. With the economic recovery stimulated by this round of policies and the stabilization of the bottom of the real estate industry, the liquor industry is expected to usher in a wave of recovery. Since 2023, industry differentiation has intensified, but with the improvement of management level and refined channel operation in recent years, excellent wine enterprises have stronger marketing foundation and anti-risk ability compared with previous downward cycles. The price of high-end wine determines the brand position, so the approval price is more important, which depends on the choice of quantity and price and the control of approval price by wine enterprises. Sub-high-end needs to pay more attention to channel risks. The high growth brought by pre-distribution investment needs to be tested in the downward period, and once the channel collapses and stalls, it is difficult to reverse it. Real estate wine pays attention to the growth momentum of internal product structure and the market potential in and around the province. The upgrading speed determines the slope and the ceiling determines the space. Suggested attention: Wuliangye, LU ZHOU LAO JIAO CO.,LTD, Shuijingfang, etc.Aouita 06 was unveiled, with an estimated price of 250,000 yuan. On December 10th, the announcement information of Aouita 06 Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the fourth model of Aouita, was exposed. Internally, the car is positioned as a young luxury medium-sized car, which will be equipped with two intelligent driving schemes: Huawei Lidar+Gankun Intelligent Driving and Pure Vision. The estimated price is about 250,000 yuan, and it will be listed in the second quarter of 2025.


Xinjiang Corps: Cancel the housing area limit for provident fund loans, and the down payment ratio for purchasing affordable housing provident fund loans should be at least 15%. According to the news of "Corps Housing Provident Fund" on WeChat WeChat official account on December 10, the Housing Provident Fund Management Center of Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps issued a document saying that it would adjust the Corps' provident fund policy. Xinjiang Corps will cancel the housing area limit for housing provident fund loans and cancel the limit that the housing area for applying for housing provident fund loans should not exceed 144 square meters. At the same time, reduce the down payment ratio of affordable housing. If housing provident fund loans are used to purchase affordable housing, the minimum down payment ratio is 15%. Xinjiang Corps will also optimize the housing provident fund rental withdrawal policy. The extraction frequency of housing provident fund for employees without housing can be adjusted from twice a year to monthly, quarterly and yearly, and the total amount of extraction can not exceed the annual upper limit.Guojin Securities: In 2025, we are optimistic about Apple's industrial chain and can independently control and benefit from the industrial chain. Guojin Securities Research Report pointed out that the AI big model has brought new development opportunities to consumer electronics and IOT hardware, and it is expected to continue to drive hardware innovation, improve the value of the industrial chain and accelerate the replacement cycle. The trend of Apple's hardware innovation and growth is gradually clear. In 2025, IPhone17 is expected to usher in great innovation in hardware and end-side AI. In 2026, Apple is expected to launch folding mobile phones/iPads and smart glasses. AI smart glasses are in full bloom and are expected to usher in explosive growth. Self-control of semiconductors is the general trend, and we are optimistic about semiconductor equipment parts, materials and domestic computing power industry chain. In 2025, we are optimistic about Apple's industrial chain, AI glasses, AI-driven and self-controllable benefit industrial chain.Jilin issued a 5-year general bond with a scale of 300 million yuan, an issue rate of 1.6600%, a marginal multiple of 3.00 times and an expected multiple of 1.67; Jilin issued a 10-year general bond with a scale of 300 million yuan, an issue rate of 2.0000%, a marginal multiple of 8.10 times and an expected multiple of 2.01; Jilin issued 30-year ordinary special local bonds, with a scale of 1.6 trillion yuan, an issue interest rate of 2.2000%, a marginal multiple of 1.53 times and an expected multiple of 2.21; Jilin issued 20-year ordinary special local debt, with a scale of 18.5 trillion yuan, an issue interest rate of 2.2300%, a marginal multiple of 22.48 times and an expected multiple of 2.24; Jilin issued 30-year ordinary special local bonds, with a scale of 20 billion yuan, an issue interest rate of 2.2000%, a marginal multiple of 1.59 times and an expected multiple of 2.22.


The Singapore Straits Times Index was basically flat at 3,795.86.The yield of China's 10-year treasury bonds dropped to 1.87% at the beginning of the session, and the betting easing policy was accelerated. The yield of 10-year treasury bonds "24 Treasury bonds with interest 11" dropped by 3.5bp to 1.87%, hitting a record low.Guangdong: Build and improve the integrated motor vehicle emission monitoring system of "heaven, earth and drivers". By the end of 2025, the coverage rate of remote sensing monitoring of diesel vehicles will reach over 60%. The Guangdong Provincial People's Government issued an action plan for continuous improvement of air quality in Guangdong Province to strictly control motor vehicle emissions. Strengthen the supervision and inspection of the environmental protection standards and information disclosure of new cars, and realize the full coverage of new production trucks. During the periodic inspection of motor vehicle emissions, the evaporative emission control of gasoline vehicles is tested. Strengthen the supervision of motor vehicle emission inspection agencies, and actively explore technologies such as raw data storage and data encryption transmission to prevent motor vehicle emission inspection agencies from cheating. We will build and improve the integrated motor vehicle emission monitoring system of "heaven, earth and drivers", and the coverage rate of remote sensing monitoring of diesel vehicles will reach over 60% by the end of 2025. Strengthen the home inspection of major car users whose remote sensing monitoring rate exceeds 10%, and severely crack down on illegal activities such as dismantling exhaust aftertreatment devices and destroying and tampering with on-board diagnostic systems (OBD). Organize the remote sensing monitoring, supervision and inspection of motor vehicle emissions, strictly implement the system of motor vehicle emission inspection and compulsory maintenance, strengthen the joint supervision and law enforcement of motor vehicles that exceed the standard, and basically eliminate the phenomenon of "black smoke" from motor vehicles.

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